Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.120906 11.564547 13.150365 15.023146 17.176454 19.577219 22.460313
2025-11-23 7.958033 9.791636 11.965355 14.737982 18.189045 22.354218 27.779650
2025-11-30 7.075993 9.178334 11.810282 15.358819 20.036617 26.017807 34.286838
2025-12-07 6.308281 8.542635 11.467338 15.594391 21.298669 28.949615 40.065077
2025-12-14 5.629184 7.910598 11.013774 15.568675 22.128519 31.301298 45.219016
2025-12-21 5.047590 7.330326 10.543093 15.427612 22.725817 33.320030 50.036055
2025-12-28 4.760410 7.128111 10.568205 15.973229 24.332789 36.902391 57.482039
2026-01-04 4.471175 6.885956 10.498696 16.349941 25.693396 40.208818 64.806430
2026-01-11 4.256565 6.731017 10.536462 16.878970 27.317686 44.044938 73.334503
2026-01-18 3.863880 6.256980 10.029738 16.482488 27.397018 45.385008 77.834505
2026-01-25 3.545696 5.872540 9.628221 16.211760 27.641619 46.991418 82.908302
2026-02-01 3.268894 5.531010 9.264744 15.964866 27.889929 48.602651 88.115499
2026-02-08 3.018193 5.216048 8.925010 15.737363 28.166064 50.313262 93.734691
2026-02-15 2.778787 4.900303 8.557064 15.424881 28.255939 51.689772 98.861740
2026-02-22 2.715129 4.888647 8.717688 16.076462 30.166818 56.565568 111.182955
2026-03-01 2.595303 4.764513 8.664706 16.323539 31.330595 60.129548 121.272979
2026-03-08 2.447446 4.576030 8.477518 16.296566 31.955791 62.698032 129.591345
2026-03-15 2.296617 4.369643 8.239756 16.148604 32.322709 64.777366 137.087298
2026-03-22 2.247308 4.353841 8.362137 16.720920 34.191549 70.055545 151.961061
2026-03-29 2.179298 4.295633 8.396588 17.116091 35.725518 74.773014 166.097917
2026-04-05 2.132731 4.276167 8.505091 17.671075 37.643184 80.471903 183.044592
2026-04-12 1.986706 4.043558 8.166437 17.255137 37.424562 81.516596 189.357336
2026-04-19 1.865334 3.852981 7.899806 16.971136 37.469386 83.141799 197.200396